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Disclaimer:-Please note that all such analysis is provided by way of information only. All of the information was and should be taken as having been prepared for the purpose of reference only and that none were made with regard to any specific investment objective, financial situation or the needs of any particular person who may receive the analysis. Any recommendation or advice that may be expressed in or inferred from such analysis therefore does not take into account and may not be suitable for your investment objective.

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

Ferro China 290708

Ferro China continued its relentless push upwards, breaking the 1.31 resistance (light blue ...) and closing right on the 1.34 resistance (blue ...) and uptrend resistance (upp green). FerroChina also broke the long term downtrend resistance (upp pink).

Ferro China could also be forming the Reverse Head & Shoulders formation - with the left shoulder on 13 jun (1.24), Head on 4 jul (1.05) and right shoulder on 25 jul (1.22). I believe the right shoulder hasn't been completed yet, and we might see FerroChina testing the 1.34 neckline (blue ...) several more times.

The Reverse Head & Shoulders formation is quite a strong reversal indicator. Provided Ferro China successfully breaks the 1.34 neckline (blue ...). If that happens, we could potentially see FerroChina hitting a high of 1.63 (1.34 - 1.05 = 0.29, 1.34 + 0.29 = 1.63) which is the roughly the support level (green --) for FerroChina during the surge in price in may.

Of course, if Ferro China doesn't break the 1.34 neckline, its fall would be equally dramatic as its rise.

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For tomorrow :

Support @ 1.34 (blue ...), 1.32 (upp pink, mid green), 1.31 (light blue ...), 1.26 green ...), 1.256 (upp blue), 1.247 (low green), 1.237 (mid pink), 1.22 (blue --)

Resistance @ 1.355 (upp green), 1.38 (pink ...). 1.40, 1.43

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