Ever since hitting a low 2.06 on 17 feb, ST Engrg has been climbing steadily, culminating in its testing of the 2.50 resistance (red ...) today.
We could be looking at ST Engrg trading sideways as it tries to build a base, similar to what it did at the beginning of the year. We could be looking trades between the 2.44 support (pink ...) and 2.50 resistance (red ...).
If ST Engrg can continue to trade within the uptrend channel (blue), we might see it consolidate at the 2.48 level, which is where the long term downtrend resistance (upp red) meets the short term uptrend support (mid green) sometime towards the end of next week.
However, if ST Engrg fails to break the 2.50 resistance by next week, we could see it revisit the 2.40 support (pink --), or even the 2.38 support (blue ...).
For monday :
Support @ 2.44 (low blue, pink ...), 2.43 (mid red), 2.42 (mid green), 2.40 (pink --), 2.39 (low red), 2.38 (blue ...), 2.36 (blue --)
Resistance @ 2.48 (red --), 2.50 (red ...), 2.506 (upp red, upp blue), 2.515 (upp green), 2.52, 2.54
Saturday, March 28, 2009
Semb Marine 270309
A day after my analysis on 20 mar, Sembcorp Marine burst into life and went on a blistering run, breaking several key resistances along the way! It tested the key 1.93 resistance (blue ...) today but closed 1.90 neckline (pink --).
We could see Sembcorp Marine trade sideways due to inevitable profit-taking. We could see it trade between the 1.87 support (lightblue --) and 1.93 resistance (blue ...). We could also see Sembcorp Marine consolidate around the 1.87 level, which is where the long term downtrend resistance (upp red) meets the uptrend support (low blue) somewhere towards the end of next week.
If Sembcorp Marine can trade above the uptrend support (low blue), there's a good chance we might see it attempt to test and break the 1.93 resistance (blue ...).
However, if Sembcorp Marine breaks the 1.82 support (lightblue ...), we could see it revisit the 1.74 support (red ...), or even the 1.69 support (blue --).
For monday :
Support @ 1.90 (pink --), 1.87 (lightblue --), 1.84 (low blue), 1.82 (lightblue ...), 1.79 (mid red), 1.78 (red --), 1.77 (upp green), 1.74 (red ...), 1.69 (blue --)
Resistance @ 1.93 (upp red, blue ...), 1.94 (mid blue), 1.97 (upp blue)
We could see Sembcorp Marine trade sideways due to inevitable profit-taking. We could see it trade between the 1.87 support (lightblue --) and 1.93 resistance (blue ...). We could also see Sembcorp Marine consolidate around the 1.87 level, which is where the long term downtrend resistance (upp red) meets the uptrend support (low blue) somewhere towards the end of next week.
If Sembcorp Marine can trade above the uptrend support (low blue), there's a good chance we might see it attempt to test and break the 1.93 resistance (blue ...).
However, if Sembcorp Marine breaks the 1.82 support (lightblue ...), we could see it revisit the 1.74 support (red ...), or even the 1.69 support (blue --).
For monday :
Support @ 1.90 (pink --), 1.87 (lightblue --), 1.84 (low blue), 1.82 (lightblue ...), 1.79 (mid red), 1.78 (red --), 1.77 (upp green), 1.74 (red ...), 1.69 (blue --)
Resistance @ 1.93 (upp red, blue ...), 1.94 (mid blue), 1.97 (upp blue)
Raffles Education 270309
What a week for Raffles Education! After my analysis on 20 mar, it went on to test the 0.430 resistance (red ...) and 0.440 resistance (red --) on 21 mar. Just 1 day later, it went from almost breaking the 0.440 resistance, to a free-fall, breaking the 0.415 support (blue ...).
The next few days even saw Raffles Education breaking the 0.395 support (blue --) with volume. The last 3 days saw Raffles Education hitting a base of 0.385, and just about keeping its head above the uptrend support (low blue), forming a Doji today.
One possible scenario is for Raffles Education to trade between the 0.380 support (green ...) and the 0.395 resistance (blue --), provided it doesn't break the 0.380 support.
However, if the 0.380 support breaks, we could be looking at Raffles Education heading towards the 0.370 support (lightblue --), and eventually, the 0.360 support (lightblue ...).
Any upside would most likely be restricted to the 0.400 resistance (green --).
For monday :
Support @ 0.385 (low blue), 0.380 (green ...), 0.3735 (low red), 0.370 (lightblue --), 0.360 (lightblue ...)
Resistance @ 0.395 (mid red, blue --), 0.400 (green --), 0.405, 0.415 (blue ...), 0.420 (mid blue), 0.430 (upp red, red ...)
The next few days even saw Raffles Education breaking the 0.395 support (blue --) with volume. The last 3 days saw Raffles Education hitting a base of 0.385, and just about keeping its head above the uptrend support (low blue), forming a Doji today.
One possible scenario is for Raffles Education to trade between the 0.380 support (green ...) and the 0.395 resistance (blue --), provided it doesn't break the 0.380 support.
However, if the 0.380 support breaks, we could be looking at Raffles Education heading towards the 0.370 support (lightblue --), and eventually, the 0.360 support (lightblue ...).
Any upside would most likely be restricted to the 0.400 resistance (green --).
For monday :
Support @ 0.385 (low blue), 0.380 (green ...), 0.3735 (low red), 0.370 (lightblue --), 0.360 (lightblue ...)
Resistance @ 0.395 (mid red, blue --), 0.400 (green --), 0.405, 0.415 (blue ...), 0.420 (mid blue), 0.430 (upp red, red ...)
Friday, March 27, 2009
Noble Group 270309
Is it a false break for Noble Group?
Noble Group initially broke the downtrend resistance (upp pink) and 1.27 neckline (green --), and also tested the uptrend resistance (upp blue). However, things took a dramatic twist after lunch and Noble Group reversed to test the 1.21 support (blue ...), closing just above the major supports.
As you can see from the chart, Noble Group just about maintained trading within the uptrend channel (blue). However, the 1.21 could be crucial for Noble Group as we can see that the long term downtrend support (low red), and uptrend support (low blue), meets there.
If the 1.21 support breaks, we may see Noble Group trying to hold its ground at the 1.20 level, where the long term downtrend support (low red) meets the downtrend support (mid pink).
If Noble Group can hold onto these 2 supports, we could see it try to establish a base by trading sideways between 1.20/1.21 and the 1.25 resistance (blue --). At most, Noble Group could test the 1.27 neckline (green --).
For monday :
Support @ 1.21 (low blue, low red, blue ...), 1.20 (mid pink), 1.18 (red --), 1.16 (upp green), 1.15 (low pink)
Resistance @ 1.23, 1.25 (upp pink, blue --), 1.27 (green --), 1.305 (upp red, upp blue)
Noble Group initially broke the downtrend resistance (upp pink) and 1.27 neckline (green --), and also tested the uptrend resistance (upp blue). However, things took a dramatic twist after lunch and Noble Group reversed to test the 1.21 support (blue ...), closing just above the major supports.
As you can see from the chart, Noble Group just about maintained trading within the uptrend channel (blue). However, the 1.21 could be crucial for Noble Group as we can see that the long term downtrend support (low red), and uptrend support (low blue), meets there.
If the 1.21 support breaks, we may see Noble Group trying to hold its ground at the 1.20 level, where the long term downtrend support (low red) meets the downtrend support (mid pink).
If Noble Group can hold onto these 2 supports, we could see it try to establish a base by trading sideways between 1.20/1.21 and the 1.25 resistance (blue --). At most, Noble Group could test the 1.27 neckline (green --).
For monday :
Support @ 1.21 (low blue, low red, blue ...), 1.20 (mid pink), 1.18 (red --), 1.16 (upp green), 1.15 (low pink)
Resistance @ 1.23, 1.25 (upp pink, blue --), 1.27 (green --), 1.305 (upp red, upp blue)
Cosco 270309
After my analysis on 25 mar, Cosco broke through several key resistance and also tested the uptrend resistance (upp blue). However, Cosco couldn't build on the momentum and tested the 0.830 support (blue --) today, and also closed right on the 0.840 support (green ...).
Next week could be crucial for Cosco as we see whether it can break the 0.860 level convincingly. As you can see from the chart, the downtrend resistance (upp red) meets the 2 uptrend resistances (upp blue, upp green) at about the 0.860 level.
If Cosco does not break 0.860, we could see it test the 0.830 (blue --) and 0.820 (red --) supports.
If Cosco manages to clear 0.860, there's another formidable roadblock at the 0.870 level (pink --).
For monday :
Support @ 0.840 (green ...), 0.830 (blue --), 0.825 (mid green), 0.820 (red --), 0.815 (mid red, green --), 0.805 (lightblue ...)
Resistance @ 0.850 (red ...), 0.855 (upp green), 0.860 (upp blue, upp red), 0.870 (pink --)
Next week could be crucial for Cosco as we see whether it can break the 0.860 level convincingly. As you can see from the chart, the downtrend resistance (upp red) meets the 2 uptrend resistances (upp blue, upp green) at about the 0.860 level.
If Cosco does not break 0.860, we could see it test the 0.830 (blue --) and 0.820 (red --) supports.
If Cosco manages to clear 0.860, there's another formidable roadblock at the 0.870 level (pink --).
For monday :
Support @ 0.840 (green ...), 0.830 (blue --), 0.825 (mid green), 0.820 (red --), 0.815 (mid red, green --), 0.805 (lightblue ...)
Resistance @ 0.850 (red ...), 0.855 (upp green), 0.860 (upp blue, upp red), 0.870 (pink --)
Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Indofood Agri 250309
Indofood Agri opened right on the 0.615 support (blue --) before surging up to test the uptrend resistance (upp blue). Indofood Agri closed just below the 2 downtrend resistance (red, upp pink).
Could Indofood Agri be attempting to build another base? Just like it did a week ago?
For that to happen, it would need to stay at least above the 0.605 support (green ...). Then, we could see Indofood Agri trade between the 0.605 support and 0.640 resistance (blue ...).
However, if the 0.605 support breaks, we might see Indofood Agri falling back to the 0.580 support (pink ...) or 0.575 support (red ...).
For tomorrow :
Support @ 0.630 (mid blue), 0.620 (mid pink, blue --), 0.605 (green ...), 0.600 (low pink, low blue), 0.580 (pink ...), 0.575 (upp green, red ...)
Resistance @ 0.630 (red), 0.635 (upp pink), 0.640 (blue ...), 0.660 (upp blue)
Could Indofood Agri be attempting to build another base? Just like it did a week ago?
For that to happen, it would need to stay at least above the 0.605 support (green ...). Then, we could see Indofood Agri trade between the 0.605 support and 0.640 resistance (blue ...).
However, if the 0.605 support breaks, we might see Indofood Agri falling back to the 0.580 support (pink ...) or 0.575 support (red ...).
For tomorrow :
Support @ 0.630 (mid blue), 0.620 (mid pink, blue --), 0.605 (green ...), 0.600 (low pink, low blue), 0.580 (pink ...), 0.575 (upp green, red ...)
Resistance @ 0.630 (red), 0.635 (upp pink), 0.640 (blue ...), 0.660 (upp blue)
Cosco 250309
Cosco just about stayed within the uptrend channel (green). Cosco also failed to convincingly break the 0.835 resistance (green ...) but managed to stay above the 0.805 support (lightblue ...).
This 0.805 support, as well as the 0.790 support (blue ...), would be crucial for Cosco if it wants to continue and maintain its uptrend momentum.
If these 2 supports break, we might see Cosco test the 0.755 support (green --).
For tomorrow:
Support @ 0.805 (mid green, lightblue ...), 0.790 (upp blue, blue ...), 0.780 (lightblue --), 0.765 (low red), 0.755 (green --)
Resistance @ 0.820 (red --), 0.830 (upp red), 0.835 (green ...), 0.845 (upp green), 0.870 (pink --)
This 0.805 support, as well as the 0.790 support (blue ...), would be crucial for Cosco if it wants to continue and maintain its uptrend momentum.
If these 2 supports break, we might see Cosco test the 0.755 support (green --).
For tomorrow:
Support @ 0.805 (mid green, lightblue ...), 0.790 (upp blue, blue ...), 0.780 (lightblue --), 0.765 (low red), 0.755 (green --)
Resistance @ 0.820 (red --), 0.830 (upp red), 0.835 (green ...), 0.845 (upp green), 0.870 (pink --)
Saturday, March 21, 2009
Semb Marine 200309
Three days after my analysis on 13 mar, Sembcorp Marine tested the 1.55 resistance (red ...), although it just about stayed above the crucial 1.49 support (blue --) after testing it twice on the last 2 days.
We could see Sembcorp Marine trade between the 1.49 support (blue --) and 1.55 resistance (red ...) for the time being as it tries to build a base. If Sembcorp Marine can also continue to trade within the uptrend channel (green), we could see it attempt to break the 1.55 resistance sooner rather than later.
For monday :
Support @ 1.49 (mid red, mid green, blue --), 1.46 (pink ...), 1.45 (mid blue), 1.44 (low red), 1.41 (low green, red --)
Resistance @ 1.55 (red ...), 1.56 (upp green, upp red), 1.58 (upp blue), 1.59 (green ...), 1.61 (green --)
We could see Sembcorp Marine trade between the 1.49 support (blue --) and 1.55 resistance (red ...) for the time being as it tries to build a base. If Sembcorp Marine can also continue to trade within the uptrend channel (green), we could see it attempt to break the 1.55 resistance sooner rather than later.
For monday :
Support @ 1.49 (mid red, mid green, blue --), 1.46 (pink ...), 1.45 (mid blue), 1.44 (low red), 1.41 (low green, red --)
Resistance @ 1.55 (red ...), 1.56 (upp green, upp red), 1.58 (upp blue), 1.59 (green ...), 1.61 (green --)
Olam 200309
After my analysis on 13 mar, Olam not only maintained its uptrend momentum, it also broke several resistance and tested the 1.41 neckline (pink --) thrice this week, closing right on the neckline today.
Will Olam continue to push higher and hit the 1.51 high of 12 feb?
If Olam cannot sustain this uptrend, we could be looking at a potential triple top forming, which means that the chances of Olam crashing (if the triple top completes) once it breaks the baseline support of 1.35 (lightblue --) is greatly increased.
For monday :
Support @ 1.39 (mid blue), 1.38 (red ...), 1.37 (mid green, pink ...), 1.35 (lightblue --), 1.33 (low red), 1.32 (blue ...), 1.30 (lightblue ...), 1.28 (red --)
Resistance @ 1.43 (upp green), 1.435 (upp red), 1.447 (upp blue), 1.48
Will Olam continue to push higher and hit the 1.51 high of 12 feb?
If Olam cannot sustain this uptrend, we could be looking at a potential triple top forming, which means that the chances of Olam crashing (if the triple top completes) once it breaks the baseline support of 1.35 (lightblue --) is greatly increased.
For monday :
Support @ 1.39 (mid blue), 1.38 (red ...), 1.37 (mid green, pink ...), 1.35 (lightblue --), 1.33 (low red), 1.32 (blue ...), 1.30 (lightblue ...), 1.28 (red --)
Resistance @ 1.43 (upp green), 1.435 (upp red), 1.447 (upp blue), 1.48
Raffles Education 200309
Raffles Edu just about managed to stay above the 0.400 support (green --) today. However, volume was extremely low (about 1.7k lots), compared to a volume of 37.6m lots done on 10 mar, a day after Raffles Edu broke the 0.400 support.
As you can see from the chart, the 0.400 level is quite an important support for Raffles Edu. If it can hold on to this support, we could see Raffles Edu attempt to build a base and test the 0.430 resistance (red ...).
If Raffles Edu breaks the 0.400 support (green --), we could see it re-visit the 0.380 support (green ...).
For monday :
Support @ 0.405, 0.400 (mid blue, green --), 0.395 (mid red), 0.383 (low red), 0.380 (green ...), 0.370 (low blue, lightblue --)
Resistance @ 0.415 (blue ...), 0.420 (upp red), 0.425 (red ...), 0.435 (upp blue), 0.440 (red --)
As you can see from the chart, the 0.400 level is quite an important support for Raffles Edu. If it can hold on to this support, we could see Raffles Edu attempt to build a base and test the 0.430 resistance (red ...).
If Raffles Edu breaks the 0.400 support (green --), we could see it re-visit the 0.380 support (green ...).
For monday :
Support @ 0.405, 0.400 (mid blue, green --), 0.395 (mid red), 0.383 (low red), 0.380 (green ...), 0.370 (low blue, lightblue --)
Resistance @ 0.415 (blue ...), 0.420 (upp red), 0.425 (red ...), 0.435 (upp blue), 0.440 (red --)
Noble Group 200309
Are we looking at the beginning of another one of those surging runs of Noble Group?
Noble Group tested the 1.11 neckline (pink ...) today, as it broke and closed above the 1.08 resistance (pink --) for the 1st time since end feb.
As you can see from the chart, the lows of Noble Group continues to stay above the uptrend support (mid blue). We could see Noble Group trade between this support and the 1.11 neckline (pink ...) for the time being.
If Noble Group continues to trade within the uptrend channel, there's a great chance we might see it break the 1.11 neckline, maybe even by end of mar.
For monday :
Support @ 1.08 (pink --), 1.06 (mid blue), 1.05 (green ...), 1.03 (low blue, red ...), 1.02 (blue --)
Resistance @ 1.10 (red), 1.11 (pink ...), 1.115 (upp blue), 1.13
Noble Group tested the 1.11 neckline (pink ...) today, as it broke and closed above the 1.08 resistance (pink --) for the 1st time since end feb.
As you can see from the chart, the lows of Noble Group continues to stay above the uptrend support (mid blue). We could see Noble Group trade between this support and the 1.11 neckline (pink ...) for the time being.
If Noble Group continues to trade within the uptrend channel, there's a great chance we might see it break the 1.11 neckline, maybe even by end of mar.
For monday :
Support @ 1.08 (pink --), 1.06 (mid blue), 1.05 (green ...), 1.03 (low blue, red ...), 1.02 (blue --)
Resistance @ 1.10 (red), 1.11 (pink ...), 1.115 (upp blue), 1.13
Indofood Agri 200309
As mentioned in my analysis on 13 mar, the 0.575 support (red ...) for Indofood Agri seems to be holding for the time being. However, this support was also tested 3 times this week.
Is Indofood Agri building a base?
If you look at Indofood Agri during the mid feb period, it also appears to be building a base as it traded sideways, before going on a free fall. Will history repeat itself?
If Indofood Agri can hold on to at least the 0.565 support (green --) we could see it continue to trade sideways between the long term downtrend resistance (red) and the 0.565 support (green --).
Be cautious also as a Gravestone Doji was formed on 18 mar, which usually is a strong indication of an impending trend reversal. A break in these 2 support could see Indofood Agri testing at least the 0.545 support (pink --)
For monday :
Support @ 0.575 (red ...), 0.572 (low blue, upp green), 0.565 (low pink, green --), 0.545 (mid green, pink --)
Resistance @ 0.595 (red), 0.600 (upp pink), 0.605 (upp blue, green ...), 0.615 (blue --)
Is Indofood Agri building a base?
If you look at Indofood Agri during the mid feb period, it also appears to be building a base as it traded sideways, before going on a free fall. Will history repeat itself?
If Indofood Agri can hold on to at least the 0.565 support (green --) we could see it continue to trade sideways between the long term downtrend resistance (red) and the 0.565 support (green --).
Be cautious also as a Gravestone Doji was formed on 18 mar, which usually is a strong indication of an impending trend reversal. A break in these 2 support could see Indofood Agri testing at least the 0.545 support (pink --)
For monday :
Support @ 0.575 (red ...), 0.572 (low blue, upp green), 0.565 (low pink, green --), 0.545 (mid green, pink --)
Resistance @ 0.595 (red), 0.600 (upp pink), 0.605 (upp blue, green ...), 0.615 (blue --)
Cosco 200309
Today is the first time in 5 days Cosco broke the 0.730 support (blue --). Cosco also tested the 0.715 support (red ...), the downtrend support (low red) and short term uptrend support (low green). However, Cosco managed to recover late into day to close above the 0.730 support.
It remains to be seen if Cosco can continue to stay above the 0.730 support as you can see the long term downtrend resistance (pink), meeting the 2 uptrend supports (mid blue, low green) at around the 0.723 level sometime next week.
For monday :
Support @ 0.730 (blue --), 0.717 (mid blue), 0.715 (low green, red ...), 0.705 (low red), 0.690 (pink --)
Resistance @ 0.745 (pink), 0.755 (green --), 0.760 (upp green), 0.765 (upp red), 0.780 (lightblue --)
It remains to be seen if Cosco can continue to stay above the 0.730 support as you can see the long term downtrend resistance (pink), meeting the 2 uptrend supports (mid blue, low green) at around the 0.723 level sometime next week.
For monday :
Support @ 0.730 (blue --), 0.717 (mid blue), 0.715 (low green, red ...), 0.705 (low red), 0.690 (pink --)
Resistance @ 0.745 (pink), 0.755 (green --), 0.760 (upp green), 0.765 (upp red), 0.780 (lightblue --)
Sunday, March 15, 2009
Straits Asia 130309
Just a day after my analysis on 27 feb, Straits Asia broke the crucial support of 0.795 (green --). The following day (28 feb) saw Straits Asia hit the 0.740 support (blue ...), which was just above the baseline support of 0.730 which I've calculated for the triple top formation.
Straits Asia rebounded immediately after testing the 0.740 support, and has now recovered to trade above the 0.795 neckline (green --).
For today's analysis, I've added a short term uptrend channel (green) and short term downtrend channel (red).
If Straits Asia can continue to trade above the 0.795 support (green --), we could see it break out of the 2 downtrend channels and even test 0.845 resistance (red ...).
For monday :
Support @ 0.808 (mid blue), 0.795 (green --), 0.784 (low red), 0.780 (low green), 0.775 (pink ...)
Resistance 0.815 (upp pink), 0.820 (upp red), 0.825 (pink --), 0.830 (upp green), 0.845 (red ...)
Straits Asia rebounded immediately after testing the 0.740 support, and has now recovered to trade above the 0.795 neckline (green --).
For today's analysis, I've added a short term uptrend channel (green) and short term downtrend channel (red).
If Straits Asia can continue to trade above the 0.795 support (green --), we could see it break out of the 2 downtrend channels and even test 0.845 resistance (red ...).
For monday :
Support @ 0.808 (mid blue), 0.795 (green --), 0.784 (low red), 0.780 (low green), 0.775 (pink ...)
Resistance 0.815 (upp pink), 0.820 (upp red), 0.825 (pink --), 0.830 (upp green), 0.845 (red ...)
Semb Marine 130309
After my last analysis on 27 feb, Smebcorp Marine broke the crucial 1.38 support (pink --), and traded sideways for about 2 weeks before coming to life today, closing above the other crucial neckline of 1.48 (blue --) with the highest volume since end feb.
As you can see from the chart, the 1.48 neckline (blue --) is very important for Sembcorp Marine as the downtrend resistance (upp red) meets the uptrend support mid blue). If it wants to sustain this positive momentum, Sembcorp Marine would have to continue to trade above the 1.48 neckline (blue --).
If Sembcorp Marine breaks the 1.48 neckline, we could see it sliding back to the 1.41 support (red --). However, if the support holds, we could see Sembcorp Marine test the 1.55 resistance (red ...) very soon.
For monday :
Support @ 1.48 (mid blue, blue --), 1.46 (pink ...), 1.44, 1.41 (red --), 1.38 (mid red, pink --)1.34 (low red)
Resistance @ 1.51 (upp red), 1.53 (upp blue), 1.55 (red ...), 1.59 (green ...) 1.61 (green --)
As you can see from the chart, the 1.48 neckline (blue --) is very important for Sembcorp Marine as the downtrend resistance (upp red) meets the uptrend support mid blue). If it wants to sustain this positive momentum, Sembcorp Marine would have to continue to trade above the 1.48 neckline (blue --).
If Sembcorp Marine breaks the 1.48 neckline, we could see it sliding back to the 1.41 support (red --). However, if the support holds, we could see Sembcorp Marine test the 1.55 resistance (red ...) very soon.
For monday :
Support @ 1.48 (mid blue, blue --), 1.46 (pink ...), 1.44, 1.41 (red --), 1.38 (mid red, pink --)1.34 (low red)
Resistance @ 1.51 (upp red), 1.53 (upp blue), 1.55 (red ...), 1.59 (green ...) 1.61 (green --)
Olam 130309
After breaking the neckline (lightblue ...) for the double top formation on 17 feb, Olam recovered to test this neckline in last than a month, and closed right on the downtrend resistance (upp red).
The following week could be crucial for Olam as it remains to be seen if its uptrend momentum could be sustained. The first crucial level would be at 1.28, which is where the downtrend resistance (upp red) meets the uptrend support (low blue) and 1.28 neckline (red --).
If this support breaks, the next crucial support would be at 1.25 (green --). If Olam can trade above these 2 supports, there's a great chance we might see Olam test the 1.35 resistance (lightblue --).
However, if Olam breaks these 2 supports, we could then see it retreat back to the 1.15 support (blue --).
For monday :
Support @ 1.30 (upp red, lightblue ...), 1.28 (low blue, red --), 1.25 (green --), 1.22 (mid red, upp green, pink --), 1.17 (low red, pink ...), 1.15 (blue --), 1.14 (low green), 1.13 (green ...)
Resistance @ 1.32 (blue ...), 1.34 (upp blue), 1.35 (lightblue --), 1.38, 1.41
The following week could be crucial for Olam as it remains to be seen if its uptrend momentum could be sustained. The first crucial level would be at 1.28, which is where the downtrend resistance (upp red) meets the uptrend support (low blue) and 1.28 neckline (red --).
If this support breaks, the next crucial support would be at 1.25 (green --). If Olam can trade above these 2 supports, there's a great chance we might see Olam test the 1.35 resistance (lightblue --).
However, if Olam breaks these 2 supports, we could then see it retreat back to the 1.15 support (blue --).
For monday :
Support @ 1.30 (upp red, lightblue ...), 1.28 (low blue, red --), 1.25 (green --), 1.22 (mid red, upp green, pink --), 1.17 (low red, pink ...), 1.15 (blue --), 1.14 (low green), 1.13 (green ...)
Resistance @ 1.32 (blue ...), 1.34 (upp blue), 1.35 (lightblue --), 1.38, 1.41
Noble Group 130309
Noble Group indeed tested the 0.995 support (blue ...) the day after my analysis on 11 mar. It then recovered to test the 1.05 resistance (green ...) today. Noble Group has been trading sideways since end feb and is still in the uptrend channel (blue).
Will we see Noble Group bursting into life like it did in mid Jan ?
As you can see from the chart, the downtrend resistance (upp red), meets the uptrend support (low blue) at the 1.025 level sometime next week. Which means we could see some action for Noble Group soon.
If Noble Group doesn't break the 0.995 support (blue ...) by then, there's a great chance we could see a repeat of the surging run in mid jan.
However, if the 0.995 support breaks, we could see Noble Group fall as dramatically, which isn't unusual for Noble Group.
For monday :
Support @ 1.03 (red ...), 1.02 (blue --), 1.00 (low blue), 0.995 (blue ...), 0.965 (mid red, green --), 0.935 (red --)
Resistance @ 1.05 (green ...), 1.06 (upp red), 1.08 (pink --), 1.10 (upp blue), 1.11 (pink ...)
Will we see Noble Group bursting into life like it did in mid Jan ?
As you can see from the chart, the downtrend resistance (upp red), meets the uptrend support (low blue) at the 1.025 level sometime next week. Which means we could see some action for Noble Group soon.
If Noble Group doesn't break the 0.995 support (blue ...) by then, there's a great chance we could see a repeat of the surging run in mid jan.
However, if the 0.995 support breaks, we could see Noble Group fall as dramatically, which isn't unusual for Noble Group.
For monday :
Support @ 1.03 (red ...), 1.02 (blue --), 1.00 (low blue), 0.995 (blue ...), 0.965 (mid red, green --), 0.935 (red --)
Resistance @ 1.05 (green ...), 1.06 (upp red), 1.08 (pink --), 1.10 (upp blue), 1.11 (pink ...)
Saturday, March 14, 2009
Indofood Agri 130309
What a run for Indofood Agri ever since hitting a low of 0.450 on 3 mar. However, I feel that Indofood Agri's great run has hit its peak as volume is drying up.
If you can read my analysis on 10 mar, I added a short term downtrend channel (pink) and Indofood Agri hit the short term downtrend resistance (upp pink) before closing just below it. This could also be an indication that the trend for Indofood Agri is turning.
Immediate support for Indofood Agri would be the 0.575 support (red ...). If Indofood Agri can hold onto this support, we could see it build a base and attempt to test the 0.605 resistance (green ...).
However, if Indofood Agri breaks the 0.575 support (red ...), I believe its drop would be as swift as it did in the 2nd half of feb.
For monday :
Support @ 0.575 (red ...), 0.5677 (mid pink, mid green), 0.565 (green --), 0.560 (mid blue), 0.548 (low red), 0.545 (pink --), 0.535 (lightblue --), 0.525 (low blue, red --), 0.520 (low pink), 0.505 (pink ...)
Resistance @ 0.595 (upp red, upp pink), 0.605 (upp blue, upp green, green ...), 0.615 (blue --), 0.640 (blue ...)
If you can read my analysis on 10 mar, I added a short term downtrend channel (pink) and Indofood Agri hit the short term downtrend resistance (upp pink) before closing just below it. This could also be an indication that the trend for Indofood Agri is turning.
Immediate support for Indofood Agri would be the 0.575 support (red ...). If Indofood Agri can hold onto this support, we could see it build a base and attempt to test the 0.605 resistance (green ...).
However, if Indofood Agri breaks the 0.575 support (red ...), I believe its drop would be as swift as it did in the 2nd half of feb.
For monday :
Support @ 0.575 (red ...), 0.5677 (mid pink, mid green), 0.565 (green --), 0.560 (mid blue), 0.548 (low red), 0.545 (pink --), 0.535 (lightblue --), 0.525 (low blue, red --), 0.520 (low pink), 0.505 (pink ...)
Resistance @ 0.595 (upp red, upp pink), 0.605 (upp blue, upp green, green ...), 0.615 (blue --), 0.640 (blue ...)
Cosco 130309
Cosco initially opened below the long term downtrend resistance (upp pink), but that soon changed as Cosco surged past several necklines to test the 0.775 neckline (lightblue --) with the highest volume in a month.
As Cosco did not break the short term downtrend resistance (upp red), it remains to be seen if Cosco can maintain its momentum.
We could see Cosco trading between the 0.730 support (blue --) and 0.775 neckline (lightblue --) as it tries to build a base.
For monday :
Support @ 0.755 (green --), 0.735 (mid blue), 0.730 (blue --), 0.710 (red ...), 0.705 (mid red), 0.695 (upp pink)
Resistance @ 0.765 (upp red), 0.775 (lightblue --), 0.785 (upp blue), 0.790 (blue ...), 0.805, 0.820 (red --)
As Cosco did not break the short term downtrend resistance (upp red), it remains to be seen if Cosco can maintain its momentum.
We could see Cosco trading between the 0.730 support (blue --) and 0.775 neckline (lightblue --) as it tries to build a base.
For monday :
Support @ 0.755 (green --), 0.735 (mid blue), 0.730 (blue --), 0.710 (red ...), 0.705 (mid red), 0.695 (upp pink)
Resistance @ 0.765 (upp red), 0.775 (lightblue --), 0.785 (upp blue), 0.790 (blue ...), 0.805, 0.820 (red --)
China Hongx 130309
Although China Hongxing broke out from the short term downtrend resistance (upp red), it is still way below the level it was trading just a month ago.
The 0.065 level (red --) could be the support for China Hongxing for the time being as it tries to build a base.
The immediate resistance could be seen at the 0.09 neckline (blue --). We could be looking at China Hongxing trading between the 0.065 support (red --) and 0.08 neckline (lightblue --).
For monday:
Support @ 0.070 (upp red, red ...), 0.065 (mid pink, red --), 0.05 (low pink), 0.045 (low red)
Resistance @ 0.080 (lightblue --), 0.090 (upp pink, blue --), 0.105 (green --)
The 0.065 level (red --) could be the support for China Hongxing for the time being as it tries to build a base.
The immediate resistance could be seen at the 0.09 neckline (blue --). We could be looking at China Hongxing trading between the 0.065 support (red --) and 0.08 neckline (lightblue --).
For monday:
Support @ 0.070 (upp red, red ...), 0.065 (mid pink, red --), 0.05 (low pink), 0.045 (low red)
Resistance @ 0.080 (lightblue --), 0.090 (upp pink, blue --), 0.105 (green --)
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
Noble Group 110309
Noble Group today broke the uptrend support (low blue). It also came very close to testing the 0.995 support (blue ...).
We could be looking at Noble Group testing the 0.995 support (blue ...) soon.
For tomorrow:
Support @ 0.995 (blue ...), 0.980 (mid red), 0.965 (green --), 0.935 (red --), 0.915 (low red)
Resistance @ 1.02 (low blue, blue --), 1.03 (red ...), 1.05 (green ...), 1.075 (upp red), 1.08 (pink --)
We could be looking at Noble Group testing the 0.995 support (blue ...) soon.
For tomorrow:
Support @ 0.995 (blue ...), 0.980 (mid red), 0.965 (green --), 0.935 (red --), 0.915 (low red)
Resistance @ 1.02 (low blue, blue --), 1.03 (red ...), 1.05 (green ...), 1.075 (upp red), 1.08 (pink --)
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Indofood Agri 100309
Indofood Agri burst into life today with volume that was more than 4 times yesterday's. Buy ups outnumbered selldowns by about 2 to 1. Indofood Agri also broke the long term downtrend resistance (upp red) and the 0.525 neckline (red --).
I have included a short term downtrend channel (pink). As you can see Indofood Agri tested the 0.545 neckline (pink --) today, which was not far from where the downtrend resistance (mid pink) is.
If Indofood Agri manages to trade above the 0.525 neckline (red --), we could see it test the 0.565 neckline (green --) soon.
For tomorrow :
Support @ 0.545 (pink --), 0.535 (upp green), 0.525 (low pink, red --), .511 (upp red), 0.507 (mid green), 0505 (pink ...), 0.495 (green ...)
Resistance @ 0.545 (pink --), 0.558 (mid pink), 0.565 (green --), 0.575 (red ...)
I have included a short term downtrend channel (pink). As you can see Indofood Agri tested the 0.545 neckline (pink --) today, which was not far from where the downtrend resistance (mid pink) is.
If Indofood Agri manages to trade above the 0.525 neckline (red --), we could see it test the 0.565 neckline (green --) soon.
For tomorrow :
Support @ 0.545 (pink --), 0.535 (upp green), 0.525 (low pink, red --), .511 (upp red), 0.507 (mid green), 0505 (pink ...), 0.495 (green ...)
Resistance @ 0.545 (pink --), 0.558 (mid pink), 0.565 (green --), 0.575 (red ...)
Monday, March 9, 2009
Cosco 090309
Cosco continues to trade within the long term (pink) and short term (red) downtrend channels. Although Cosco opened above the 0.715 support (red ...), it soon succumbed to selling pressure and closed below the 0.715 support.
Quite a lot of people could be caught when Cosco surged on 5 mar. However, since it closed that day on a low, it would have been a signal that the uptrend momentum may not be sustainable. The Doji on the following day (6 mar) would give you an idea to be prepared to cut loss.
If Cosco continues to remain weak, we could see it test 0.670 (pink --) again, which was the low on 3 mar. If that support breaks as well, we could see Cosco head towards the 0.655 level, which is where the 2 downtrend supports meet.
For tomorrow :
Support @ 0.690 (mid blue), 0.680 (low pink), 0.675 (low blue), 0.670 (low red, pink --)
Resistance @ 0.710 (upp blue), 0.715 (red ...), 0.730 (mid red, blue --), 0.745 (upp pink), 0.755 (green --)
Quite a lot of people could be caught when Cosco surged on 5 mar. However, since it closed that day on a low, it would have been a signal that the uptrend momentum may not be sustainable. The Doji on the following day (6 mar) would give you an idea to be prepared to cut loss.
If Cosco continues to remain weak, we could see it test 0.670 (pink --) again, which was the low on 3 mar. If that support breaks as well, we could see Cosco head towards the 0.655 level, which is where the 2 downtrend supports meet.
For tomorrow :
Support @ 0.690 (mid blue), 0.680 (low pink), 0.675 (low blue), 0.670 (low red, pink --)
Resistance @ 0.710 (upp blue), 0.715 (red ...), 0.730 (mid red, blue --), 0.745 (upp pink), 0.755 (green --)
Friday, March 6, 2009
Indofood Agri 060309
Indofood Agri's fortunes took a dramatic twist within a few days. We were just talking about a possible trend reversal on 3 mar, and now Indofood Agri is trading below the 0.525 neckline (red --) again. Volume done today is not even half of yesterday's.
The 0.505 support (pink ...) again seems to be holding out quite well for the time being. We could be looking at Indofood Agri trading between the downtrend resistance (upp red) and uptrend support (mid green).
We could see some action next week as the downtrend resistance (upp red) meets the uptrend support (mid green) at about the 0.495 neckline (green ...). If the 0.495 neckline breaks, we could see Indofood Agri make a swift visit to the 0.470 support (lightblue --).
For monday :
Support @ 0.505 (pink ...), 0.495 (mid green, green ...), 0.480 (mid red), 0.470 (lightblue --), 0.460 (blue ...), 0.455 (low green), 0.440 (low red)
Resistance @ 0.515 (upp red), 0.525 (upp green, red --), 0.545 (pink --), 0.555, 0.565 (green --)
The 0.505 support (pink ...) again seems to be holding out quite well for the time being. We could be looking at Indofood Agri trading between the downtrend resistance (upp red) and uptrend support (mid green).
We could see some action next week as the downtrend resistance (upp red) meets the uptrend support (mid green) at about the 0.495 neckline (green ...). If the 0.495 neckline breaks, we could see Indofood Agri make a swift visit to the 0.470 support (lightblue --).
For monday :
Support @ 0.505 (pink ...), 0.495 (mid green, green ...), 0.480 (mid red), 0.470 (lightblue --), 0.460 (blue ...), 0.455 (low green), 0.440 (low red)
Resistance @ 0.515 (upp red), 0.525 (upp green, red --), 0.545 (pink --), 0.555, 0.565 (green --)
Cosco 060309
Cosco had a false breakout on 5 mar as it broke the 1st downtrend resistance (mid red) and tested the 0.755 (green --) and 0.775 (lightblue --) necklines. The uptrend momentum couldn't be sustained and Cosco traded below the 0.730 neckline (blue --) today, forming a Doji.
If Cosco breaks the uptrend support (mid blue), there's a danger it could slip back into the long term downtrend channel (pink). The 0.715 supports looks to be a critical support as the uptrend support (mid blue) meets the downtrend resistance (mid red) at this level sometime next week.
We could be looking at Cosco trading sideways between the 0.730 neckline (blue --) and uptrend support (mid blue). And if Cosco manages to trade above the uptrend support (mid blue), there's a good chance we might see some action next week.
If Cosco breaks the uptrend support, we would likely see a swift return to test the 0.670 support (pink --).
For monday :
Support @ 0.715 (red ...), 0.710 (mid blue), 0.690 (upp pink), 0.680 (low red), 0.670 (low blue, pink --)
Resistance @ 0.730 (blue --), 0.740 (mid red), 0.745 (upp blue), 0.755 (green --), 0.775 (lightblue --)
If Cosco breaks the uptrend support (mid blue), there's a danger it could slip back into the long term downtrend channel (pink). The 0.715 supports looks to be a critical support as the uptrend support (mid blue) meets the downtrend resistance (mid red) at this level sometime next week.
We could be looking at Cosco trading sideways between the 0.730 neckline (blue --) and uptrend support (mid blue). And if Cosco manages to trade above the uptrend support (mid blue), there's a good chance we might see some action next week.
If Cosco breaks the uptrend support, we would likely see a swift return to test the 0.670 support (pink --).
For monday :
Support @ 0.715 (red ...), 0.710 (mid blue), 0.690 (upp pink), 0.680 (low red), 0.670 (low blue, pink --)
Resistance @ 0.730 (blue --), 0.740 (mid red), 0.745 (upp blue), 0.755 (green --), 0.775 (lightblue --)
Tuesday, March 3, 2009
Indofood Agri 030309
Indofood Agri opened low and closed high, almost engulfing yesterday. In candlestick, it's called Bullish Engulfing. Since Indofood Agri has been on the downtrend, this could signal an impending trend reversal.
In order to confirm the trend reversal, we would need a white candlestick tomorrow. Ideally, Indofood Agri gapping up and closing higher. This would give us another bullish pattern called the Three Outside Up, which is a stronger indicator of a trend reversal compared to the Bullish Engulfing.
For tomorrow :
Support @ 0.495 (green ...), 0.490 (mid green), 0.470 (lightblue --), 0.460 (low red, blue ...), 0.450 (low green)
Resistance @ 0.505 (pink ...), 0.510 (upp green), 0.525 (red --), 0.535 (upp red), 0.545 (pink --), 0.565 (green --)
In order to confirm the trend reversal, we would need a white candlestick tomorrow. Ideally, Indofood Agri gapping up and closing higher. This would give us another bullish pattern called the Three Outside Up, which is a stronger indicator of a trend reversal compared to the Bullish Engulfing.
For tomorrow :
Support @ 0.495 (green ...), 0.490 (mid green), 0.470 (lightblue --), 0.460 (low red, blue ...), 0.450 (low green)
Resistance @ 0.505 (pink ...), 0.510 (upp green), 0.525 (red --), 0.535 (upp red), 0.545 (pink --), 0.565 (green --)
Cosco 030309
Cosco opened right on the 0.670 support (pink --) today. Although Cosco rebounded today to close above the downtrend support (low red), volume was lesser than yesterday's, so we might be looking at a technical rebound.
If Cosco manages to stay above the downtrend support (low red), we could see it trading between this support and the 0.720 neckline (red ...).
Another scenario could see Cosco trading between the downtrend support and 0.670 support (pink --), which I believe could be most likely.
As you can see from the chart, the 0.670 support is very important as 3 trendlines converge together with the volume support (pink --). So, if the 0.670 breaks, we could see Cosco test the 28 oct low of 60.5 cents at least.
For tomorrow :
Support @ 0.700 (low red), 0.680, 0.670 (blue, pink --), 0.643 (low pink)
Resistance @ 0.720 (red ...), 0.730 (upp pink), 0.735 (mid red), 0.755 (green --), 0.775 (lightblue --)
If Cosco manages to stay above the downtrend support (low red), we could see it trading between this support and the 0.720 neckline (red ...).
Another scenario could see Cosco trading between the downtrend support and 0.670 support (pink --), which I believe could be most likely.
As you can see from the chart, the 0.670 support is very important as 3 trendlines converge together with the volume support (pink --). So, if the 0.670 breaks, we could see Cosco test the 28 oct low of 60.5 cents at least.
For tomorrow :
Support @ 0.700 (low red), 0.680, 0.670 (blue, pink --), 0.643 (low pink)
Resistance @ 0.720 (red ...), 0.730 (upp pink), 0.735 (mid red), 0.755 (green --), 0.775 (lightblue --)
Sunday, March 1, 2009
Straits Asia 270209
Straits Asia formed a triple top on 10 dec, 7 jan and 2 feb. The neckline support for this triple top formation is about 0.865 (red --), which would give us a baseline support for the triple top formation at 73 cents, just below the 0.740 support (blue ...). which Straits Asia almost tested on 23 feb.
However, there was a strong rebound the day after (24 feb) and we saw Straits Asia closing above the 0.820 resistance (pink --). There wasn't any momentum and 2 days later, which is today, we saw Straits Asia closing below the 0.820 level.
We might see Straits Asia trading between the 0.795 support (green --) and 0.820 resistance (pink --) for the time being.
What would be more crucial is if Straits Asia breaks the 0.795 support, as well as the 0.785 level (where 3 trendlines converge), it could mean a drop at least to the 0.740 support (blue ...).
For monday :
Support @ 0.795 (green --), 0.785 (pink ...), 0.775 (low blue), 0.750 (low pink), 0.740 (blue ...)
Resistance @ 0.820 (pink --), 0.825 (upp pink, upp blue), 0.845 (red ...), 0.865 (red --), 0.900 (blue --)
However, there was a strong rebound the day after (24 feb) and we saw Straits Asia closing above the 0.820 resistance (pink --). There wasn't any momentum and 2 days later, which is today, we saw Straits Asia closing below the 0.820 level.
We might see Straits Asia trading between the 0.795 support (green --) and 0.820 resistance (pink --) for the time being.
What would be more crucial is if Straits Asia breaks the 0.795 support, as well as the 0.785 level (where 3 trendlines converge), it could mean a drop at least to the 0.740 support (blue ...).
For monday :
Support @ 0.795 (green --), 0.785 (pink ...), 0.775 (low blue), 0.750 (low pink), 0.740 (blue ...)
Resistance @ 0.820 (pink --), 0.825 (upp pink, upp blue), 0.845 (red ...), 0.865 (red --), 0.900 (blue --)
Golden Agri 270209
Golden Agri formed a double top on 7 jan and 9 feb. I'll put the neckline support for this double top at 0.295 (pink ...), which means the baseline support for the double top is at around (red --).
Golden Agri has been trading sideways since mid feb and has also tested the 0.275 support (green ...) thrice.
As you can see from the chart, the longterm downtrend resistance (upp red) meets the uptrend support (low blue) at the 0.280 level sometime next week. So we might expect some action for Golden Agri early next week.
If this support breaks, I feel we might see Golden Agri revisiting 0.260, which is the 15 jan low.
For monday :
Support @ 0.285 (upp red, green --), 0.278 (low blue), 0.275 (green ...), 0.255 (low red, red --)
Resistance @ 0.285 (upp red, green --), 0.293 (mid blue), 0.295 (pink ...), 0.305 (pink --), 0.307 (upp blue)
Golden Agri has been trading sideways since mid feb and has also tested the 0.275 support (green ...) thrice.
As you can see from the chart, the longterm downtrend resistance (upp red) meets the uptrend support (low blue) at the 0.280 level sometime next week. So we might expect some action for Golden Agri early next week.
If this support breaks, I feel we might see Golden Agri revisiting 0.260, which is the 15 jan low.
For monday :
Support @ 0.285 (upp red, green --), 0.278 (low blue), 0.275 (green ...), 0.255 (low red, red --)
Resistance @ 0.285 (upp red, green --), 0.293 (mid blue), 0.295 (pink ...), 0.305 (pink --), 0.307 (upp blue)
Semb Marine 270209
Sembcorp Marine failed to break the 1.48 resistance (blue --) and even closed below the 1.41 support (red --).
As you can see from the chart, the uptrend support (low blue) meets the downtrend resistance (upp red) at 1.38, which is the opening/closing price on 24 feb. If Sembcorp Marine breaks below this level, we could see it retest Oct 08 lows.
For monday :
Support @ 1.37 (low blue), 1.33 (mid red), 1.24 (low red)
Resistance @ 1.44 (upp red), 1.48 (blue --), 1.535 (upp blue), 1.55 (red ...)
As you can see from the chart, the uptrend support (low blue) meets the downtrend resistance (upp red) at 1.38, which is the opening/closing price on 24 feb. If Sembcorp Marine breaks below this level, we could see it retest Oct 08 lows.
For monday :
Support @ 1.37 (low blue), 1.33 (mid red), 1.24 (low red)
Resistance @ 1.44 (upp red), 1.48 (blue --), 1.535 (upp blue), 1.55 (red ...)
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